Category: articles
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“Is she really going to get elected?”
“Is she really going to get elected?” “What he’s going to do as president?” “Will my business thrive or die?” Have you ever found yourself wondering about political risks in France, about the security of your investments, or simply about your right to go see the Eiffel Tower? Do you want to have a better…
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54. If you do not understand it, you better ignore it?
The editorial staff of Aujourd’hui en France / Le Parisien decided that they would simply stop commissioning opinion polls ahead of the 2017 French presidential election. They say – inter alia – that polls and surveys failed to predict the results of the Brexit referendum and of the US presidential election. I am utterly outraged by this…
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53. “Women ” prove the FN is a divided party
Earlier, I suggested in some of my analyses and interviews that the FN was a divided organisation, as internal power struggles are routinely present within the party. In recent days we have seen many evidence of this, since a nasty conflict erupted between Marion Maréchal-Le Pen and her aunt (party leader Marine Le Pen), as…
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52. The year of political death
For an analysts like me, it is kind of obligatory to consider the passing year. Whose year was it? What was the year about? I could easily say that 2016 was the year of the Fillon-surprise, but in fact, it was rather the year of political death. In 2016 – unexpectedly or not – France…
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51. Marine Le Pen: one step closer to the presidency
So far, when people asked me about the French presidential elections, I have always answered that whosoever won the Republican primary on 27 November, was likely to become the next French president. In this sentence, the keyword is “so far”. Donald J. Trump’s victory has created a whole new situation, at least mentally. Marine Le…
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50. Someone please tell me what Hollande is doing…
A book based on about 100 hours of interviews with François Hollande was published by two Le Monde journalists, Gérard Davet and Fabrice Lhomme. The title “A President Shouldn’t Say That…” practically tells all. I do not know what Hollande’s intention with this book was. To improve his image, or to enter the presidential campaign?…